Alex Alexiev

Alex Alexiev is chairman of the Center for Balkan and Black Sea Studies and the editor of the geopolitical website bulgariaanalytica.org. He tweets on national security at twitter.com/alexieff and could be reached at alexievalex4@gmail.com.
Views:2144
john-bolton

  On April 9, 2018 president Trump will have a new national security adviser named John Bolton. While he is fairly well-known in America, he remains largely unknown outside of it, but this will change quickly. The reason for this is his staunch conservatism that has already driven the traditionally left-wing, American foreign-policy establishment apoplectic since Trump’s announcement of his appointment and he has already been called everything from ‘war monger’ to ‘dangerous’ on the pages of the New York Times and elsewhere.   His main sin seems to be his preference for straight talk and unapologetic defense of American national interests, as well as his dismissal of Obama’s policies as “weak and feckless.” Apart from that, he is taken to task by the establishment’s bien pensants for calling the

Views:1316
komunizam_bg1

Sorry, this entry is only available in Bulgarian.

This entry was posted in Bulgaria by Alex Alexiev.

About Alex Alexiev

Alex Alexiev is chairman of the Center for Balkan and Black Sea Studies and the editor of the geopolitical website bulgariaanalytica.org. He tweets on national security at twitter.com/alexieff and could be reached at alexievalex4@gmail.com.
Views:893
merkel

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 03/03/2018.   Milton Friedman once said open borders and the welfare state are incompatible.  This is easy to prove in California, where, according to a recent essay by Victor Davis Hanson, half of all immigrant households are on welfare and the state accounts for a third of the nation’s welfare recipients with only 12% of its population, even as 20% of California’s population lives below the poverty line. Recent figures published in Europe’s economic powerhouse, Germany, indicate that following Angela Merkel’s disastrous open-borders experiment of two and a half years ago, that country is well on its way to joining California in proving the wisdom of Friedman’s admonition, to the huge detriment of the German people.   Official figures of the German statistical office show that beginning

Views:1063
pakistan

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 01/15/2018.   President Trump’s threat to cut US assistance to Pakistan because of its duplicitous policies has elicited relatively few angry denunciations from the normally unhinged Trump haters in the foreign-policy establishment. They have been limited to accusations of endangering American soldiers in Afghanistan because of lack of logistic alternatives to Pakistan. This essentially implies that the current failed and counter-productive policies are preferable to Trump’s calls for change.   To understand why this is a recipe for continued failure in which the Pakistani people are the main victims some history is in order. Ever since its violent separation from India in 1947, Pakistan has been an army with a state attached to it. Its quarrel with India, a vastly more powerful state, became a

Views:1978
Laffer-Curve

  In 1974, economist Arthur Laffer in making the argument for cutting taxes to top Ford Administration officials (Dick Chaney and Donald Rumsfeld) drew on a restaurant napkin a curve showing that at low rates of taxation the government could receive greater revenues, while at higher rates it received progressively less going to zero at a 100% tax rate. This then became famous as the basis of President Ronald Reagan’s tax cuts when he slashed taxes from a top marginal rate of 70% to 28%. True to the Laffer Curve, government revenues increased from $517 billion in 1980 to $909 billion in 1988, even though the population had grown by only 10%. Laffer also popularized what became known as ‘dynamic’ scoring, which took into account changes in taxpayer and business

Views:1169
trump

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 12/24/2017.   With just a few days left in 2017, President Trump has signed the tax legislation that marks his first major legislative victory since becoming president. It is undoubtedly his biggest achievement to date, but by no means the only one. After two consecutive quarters of over 3% GDP growth, the New York Fed is now predicting a fourth quarter rate of 4%. It is worth remembering here that no less an authority than the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicted economic growth of 2.2% in 2017, 2% in 2018 and 1.5% thereafter. Democratic pundits have, of course, long ridiculed as utterly impossible Trump’s election promises of 3% growth. Add to this the lowest unemployment rate (4.1%) in 17 years, 1.7 million new jobs, 12

Views:2550
europa

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 12/1/2017.   The inability of Angela Merkel and her putative partners to form a government has given rise to persistent calls, including from the chancellor herself, that what Europe needs now is a strong Germany. In fact, it is Germany’s unquestioned strength and willingness to throw its weight around that are to blame for much of Eastern Europe’s unhappiness with the EU at the moment. A case in point is the growing rift between Berlin and its eastern EU neighbors on some of the issues discussed by Merkel and her potential government partners.   Take for instance Merkel’s position claiming that the Russian Nord Stream 2 pipeline is simply a commercial project. To most of her eastern neighbors this is nothing if not crass German

Views:1445
merkel

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 11/25/2017.     The failure of German chancellor, Angela Merkel, to form a coalition government in her fourth term of office has, for the first time, given rise to speculations as to her possible demise as the long-time and seemingly indispensable fixture of German and European politics. Such is the respect bordering on  veneration, of ‘Mutti’ Merkel in the European mainstream press, that few bother to look critically at her policies and accept without question her assurances that she “will make sure that her country continues to be well governed.” Yet, there is by now overwhelming evidence that her policies have neither been very successful, nor marked with a great deal of “democracy, freedom, respect for the rule of law and human dignity,” as she

Views:2356
Mohammad-bin-Salman

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 11/17/2017.   The dramatic events in Saudi Arabia of the past few days portend a game change in the Middle East not seen in decades. Predictably, the mainstream media, desperate as they are to find something, anything to blame on Trump, have completely missed it. Instead, they have babbled about the market implications of the arrests of Prince Alwaleed and Co, Saudi Arabia ‘emerging’ as an arms manufacturer, conflict with Hezbollah, palace intrigue etc. etc. Few have put their finger on the actual events – a palace revolution in Ryadh that could change the Middle East in profound and possibly positive ways. For the logic of what’s taking place in the  House of Saud is a revolt against the medieval obscurantism that has been the

Views:3812
Photo: tass.ru

  This article is based on Alex Alexiev’s presentation to the “Russia After Putin” conference of the Bulgariaanalytica.org on Oct. 2. 2017 in Sofia. All citations are from the “Russia in Decline” publication by the Jamestown Foundation, edited by Enders  Wimbush and Beth Portale, March 2017.     Vladimir Putin came to power in Russia in 1999, a period of time which in many ways determined the course of his rule. The major, if not decisive reason for that, was that 1999 and the eight years that followed, were a period during which the prices of oil and gas rose dramatically from an average of $12-$14 dollars per barrel (USD/bbl) in 1999 to $147/bbl in 2008. This increased Russian export earnings nearly tenfold over this period and led Putin to