Alex Alexiev

Alex Alexiev is chairman of the Center for Balkan and Black Sea Studies and the editor of the geopolitical website bulgariaanalytica.org. He tweets on national security at twitter.com/alexieff and could be reached at alexievalex4@gmail.com.
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Saudi-classroom_NEW

  New Bulgariaanalytica Series on Islam, Sharia and Islamism   This is the first of a series of articles to be published in bulgariaanalytica.org that will attempt to throw light on the connection between Islam, sharia and radical Islam, which is still not well understood. To Erdogan. other Islamists and quite a few people on the other side, there is only one kind of Islam and to try to distinguish between the various types that have existed historically and continue to do so today, is, at best, a waste of time. This is completely wrong. To have a chance to overcome the curse that is Islamism for our civilization and for the Muslims themselves, we need to be able to understand what makes them tick. This is a small attempt

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Photo: instagram.com/rterdogan/

  The article first published in americanthinker.com on 06/26/2018.   By far the most interesting thing about yesterday’s Turkish elections were the endless speculations by pundits left and right about what would happen if Erdogan were to lose. These clueless if numerous pontificators forgot to ask themselves a simple question: when was the last time an Islamist dictator in full control of state power lost an election? Mindless as they are, these idle meditations have little to tell us about Turkey, but a lot of the West’s (and Europe’s especially) failure or unwillingness to understand what Erdogan is and was all about. For NATO and the West, the inevitable harsh payment due is just around the corner.   In the meantime, Turkey has a new sultan that can and will do whatever

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Photo: Screenshot/PAP video

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 06/18/2018.   As Trump haters are having yet another field day on account of his ostensible faux pas at the G-7 meeting in Canada and leftist pundits fall over each other screaming that Trump has no strategic vision, as others just as self-assuredly accuse him of planning to “break the West,” which, on the face of it, requires  plenty of strategic vision. While this silliness continues to rapidly declining effect, there are now signs that the White House is putting together a robust strategy in Europe that was missing until now.   It comes in the shape of A. Wess Mitchell, who was just appointed the point man at the State Department for Europe and Eurasia. The significance of this appointment, which was missed in

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italy

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 06/05/2017. At the time Italy joined the European Monetary Union (EMU) in 1999 on its way to full-fledged membership in the eurozone in January 2002, economists debated whether this never-tried-before experiment will succeed or not. One of the most compelling debates at the time was between two giants of monetary thought, Robert Mundell and Milton Friedman. Mundell, who is occasionally referred to as the ‘father of the euro’, for having laid out the theoretical foundations of a common currency, was optimistic, Friedman, the opposite.   Friedman is now dead while Mundell is 85, but the events in Italy may be bringing us closer to a resolution of the argument. So it is worth remembering the key points made by the two luminaries. Mundell, of course, pointed out the

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john-bolton

  On April 9, 2018 president Trump will have a new national security adviser named John Bolton. While he is fairly well-known in America, he remains largely unknown outside of it, but this will change quickly. The reason for this is his staunch conservatism that has already driven the traditionally left-wing, American foreign-policy establishment apoplectic since Trump’s announcement of his appointment and he has already been called everything from ‘war monger’ to ‘dangerous’ on the pages of the New York Times and elsewhere.   His main sin seems to be his preference for straight talk and unapologetic defense of American national interests, as well as his dismissal of Obama’s policies as “weak and feckless.” Apart from that, he is taken to task by the establishment’s bien pensants for calling the

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komunizam_bg1

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About Alex Alexiev

Alex Alexiev is chairman of the Center for Balkan and Black Sea Studies and the editor of the geopolitical website bulgariaanalytica.org. He tweets on national security at twitter.com/alexieff and could be reached at alexievalex4@gmail.com.
Views:1048
merkel

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 03/03/2018.   Milton Friedman once said open borders and the welfare state are incompatible.  This is easy to prove in California, where, according to a recent essay by Victor Davis Hanson, half of all immigrant households are on welfare and the state accounts for a third of the nation’s welfare recipients with only 12% of its population, even as 20% of California’s population lives below the poverty line. Recent figures published in Europe’s economic powerhouse, Germany, indicate that following Angela Merkel’s disastrous open-borders experiment of two and a half years ago, that country is well on its way to joining California in proving the wisdom of Friedman’s admonition, to the huge detriment of the German people.   Official figures of the German statistical office show that beginning

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pakistan

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 01/15/2018.   President Trump’s threat to cut US assistance to Pakistan because of its duplicitous policies has elicited relatively few angry denunciations from the normally unhinged Trump haters in the foreign-policy establishment. They have been limited to accusations of endangering American soldiers in Afghanistan because of lack of logistic alternatives to Pakistan. This essentially implies that the current failed and counter-productive policies are preferable to Trump’s calls for change.   To understand why this is a recipe for continued failure in which the Pakistani people are the main victims some history is in order. Ever since its violent separation from India in 1947, Pakistan has been an army with a state attached to it. Its quarrel with India, a vastly more powerful state, became a

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Laffer-Curve

  In 1974, economist Arthur Laffer in making the argument for cutting taxes to top Ford Administration officials (Dick Chaney and Donald Rumsfeld) drew on a restaurant napkin a curve showing that at low rates of taxation the government could receive greater revenues, while at higher rates it received progressively less going to zero at a 100% tax rate. This then became famous as the basis of President Ronald Reagan’s tax cuts when he slashed taxes from a top marginal rate of 70% to 28%. True to the Laffer Curve, government revenues increased from $517 billion in 1980 to $909 billion in 1988, even though the population had grown by only 10%. Laffer also popularized what became known as ‘dynamic’ scoring, which took into account changes in taxpayer and business

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trump

The article first published in americanthinker.com on 12/24/2017.   With just a few days left in 2017, President Trump has signed the tax legislation that marks his first major legislative victory since becoming president. It is undoubtedly his biggest achievement to date, but by no means the only one. After two consecutive quarters of over 3% GDP growth, the New York Fed is now predicting a fourth quarter rate of 4%. It is worth remembering here that no less an authority than the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicted economic growth of 2.2% in 2017, 2% in 2018 and 1.5% thereafter. Democratic pundits have, of course, long ridiculed as utterly impossible Trump’s election promises of 3% growth. Add to this the lowest unemployment rate (4.1%) in 17 years, 1.7 million new jobs, 12