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russia

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GAZ 1

  Once Russian gas is dried out in the Ukrainian gas transportation system the country is in trouble. Bulgaria and Poland may come to help, rather than Germany and Brussels.     No one is guilty that on December 31, 2019 the current transit contract between Naftogaz of Ukraine and Gazprom of Russia ends. As the same time two highly controversial bypassing projects will soon become operational – North Stream-2 and Turkish Stream. That will end an era of the decades long Ukrainian gas transportation business of approximately 90 bcm per year from Russia to Europe and Turkey. Taking into account the hurdles the notorious North Stream-2 is facing the physical transit may not end completely but commencing on January 1, 2020 there will be no more long-term commitments on

This entry was posted in Bulgaria, Europe, The Region and tagged , , , , by Sergiy Korsunsky.

About Sergiy Korsunsky

Director of the Hennadii Udovenko Diplomatic Academy of Ukraine since October 2017. Dr. Sergiy Korsunsky served as Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Ukraine to the Republic of Turkey in 2008-2016. Prior to that for three years he served as Director-General of the Economic Department, Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Minister-Counselor and Acting Ambassador at the Embassy of Ukraine in the USA fin 2000-2005. Ambassador Korsunsky has extensive professional experience in strategic planning and development, including energy, trade and investment policy, regional security. He is a well known expert on geopolitics of energy. Dr. Korsunsky authored more than 200 publications, including 10 books. In 2008 he was awarded by the President of Ukraine for his economic achievements.
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russia kremlin

  There are very few people in Russia that could be trusted to provide a reliable  picture of where the Russian economy is going. One such person is Rair Simonyan, the first Russian chairman of American investment bank, Morgan Stanley, and later of UBS. Over a 14 year career at Morgan Stanley, Simonyan brought hundreds of billions of dollars in IPOs, mergers and acquisitions and direct foreign investments to Russia. So when Simonyan speaks, it is always worth listening to him as in the following interview. Of course, we need to keep in mind that absolute honesty, as, for instance, in criticizing Putin, could be deadly in Russia regardless of who you are. On the other hand, Simonyan is less than above board on the results of all these investments

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transbalkan1

  Let us state the publicly known facts and try to assess the business merits of the deal. Bit by bit, slowly and systematically, so that even non-experts can understand.   We have a standing valid gas transit contract between Gazexport and Bulgartransgaz, using the current Trans-Balkan Pipeline, until 2030 with “secure” revenues of $ 1.2 billion. This is not the total contract amount, just the ‘ship or pay’ segment, accrued until the end of the contract. This is regardless of whether Gazprom decides to end transit through Ukraine, to take up alternative routes through Turkey, Germany or the North Pole. Cash in hand. Or almost.   Giving up on these receivables is a condition sine qua non, set by Gazprom, if we want to enter into the new venture

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Ieronim_Epifanij 1

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Хотел Fairmont Le Montreux Palace, място за срещата на Билдерберг през 2019 г. и подписване на Конвенцията от Монтрьо през 1936 г.

  Western elites are struggling to find common ground between the United States and Europe on matters related to China and trade, yet they have a broad consensus on a pressing defense issue — Turkey’s purchase of Russia’s S-400 missile system is damaging to NATO, and if completed, sanctions against Ankara are imminent — according to a surprise Turkish-language BBC report detailing discussions that took place last week at the secretive Bilderberg conference.   Another key takeaway from the Bilderberg group’s conference held last weekend in Montreux, Switzerland is that elites are concerned about what another financial crisis would do to the vulnerable European Union. Western elites see economic growth as a useful tool in their battle against populism and nationalism, but in the case that the European economy were

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krim1

  Years ago while still in Moscow, in the course of trying to analyze and understand the motives behind different actions of the Russian authorities, I tried to seek the opinion of various people in Moscow – both those close to power and the opponents, who often command the intellectual heights in the dispute. One of the interesting topics in the early years of Mr. Putin reign, was the subject of the quiet Russification of Crimea. The pattern was exemplary for Russia’s foreign policy. In those days I had no idea, that the issue might end up with a imaginable “Bulgarian” tag.   It was obvious, that the Kremlin would not chew the loss of the peninsula. It launched an offensive and a plan of economic conquest, including mass purchase

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russia-in-decline-alex-alexiev

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Photo: instagram.com/rterdogan/

  This column has often argued in the past that Erdogan’s Islamist Turkey has long forfeited it’s right to be considered part of the western family of free nations and should be booted out. Although Erdogan’s rule has been demonstrably brutal and undemocratic, there have always been some western excuses for not doing so.  Perhaps most decisive of late has been the EU’s delusion that Ankara would prevent another migrant wave, given Brussels willingness to pay the Turkish dictator a lot of money for that. This delusion maintained by Chancellor Merkel and other migration facilitators in the EU has now been punctured by the above EU report showing not only a 20% increase of migrants (30% in the first 3 months of 2019) coming from Turkey in 2018, but also

This entry was posted in The Region by Alex Alexiev.

About Alex Alexiev

Alex Alexiev is chairman of the Center for Balkan and Black Sea Studies and the editor of the geopolitical website bulgariaanalytica.org. He tweets on national security at twitter.com/alexieff and could be reached at alexievalex4@gmail.com.