Brexit, beyond a doubt, shatters profound internal balances within the European Union and heightens Germany’s dominance. This is not necessarily good news, judged against the backdrop of the original EU design of carefully sustained balances that offset big countries’ dominance. The German unification in the 90s tilted the scales, initially more as a matter of perception than a tangible fact. On the one hand, Berlin was overwhelmed with internal unification challenges, while on the other hand, the influence of the United States and Britain counterbalanced German domination. Many years have since passed, and the present day balance has shifted dramatically. Internal traction has declined and centrifugal forces have increased, with there being consecutive crisis peaks in the Eurozone. An accumulation of consecutive destructive impacts generated a perception of
The article first published in americanthinker.com on 02/04/2019. As I started writing this on the balmy if increasingly socialist, left coast on January 27th, the US media were full of dire predictions of a catastrophic cold snap in the Midwest and New England. The same day, in Brussels, 70,000 people (35,000 of them clueless school children) demonstrated with slogans like “Winter is not coming anymore,” “Nature grows, capitalism blows” and “Stop denying the earth is dying.” Alas, Winter did come to both the Midwest and Europe and did so with a vengeance. 21 people have died of hypothermia in the US so far and at least 10 in Poland. Temperatures dipped to a hellish minus 23 degrees Fahrenheit (- 30.5 Celsius) in Chicago, and minus 14 degrees Celsius ( 7
We live in a world of post-truth. Everyone has his own “facts,” his own truth. After the annexation of Crimea, Russia annexed the ‘truth’ for the Russian public and proxies around the world. Adding the Crimean Peninsula meant new borders, new territorial waters and new conflicts. Closing the Kerch Strait by building the bridge connecting continental Russia with its new territory meant that large ships are disallowed, effectively imposing illegal control of traffic, blocking access to and from the Ukrainian coast of the Sea of Azov, including the towns of Mariupol and Berdyansk. The EU and U.S. are looking closely and pondering how to respond – from a safe distance, as usual. They will not interfere – except with sedative lecturing. Chancellor Merkel cherishes Nord Stream-2 more than Ukraine as a shield of
The article first published in americanthinker.com on 11/29/2018. When European 21st century history is written, the picture above will be considered as emblematic of its times as the one of Chamberlain waving his ‘peace in our time’ piece of paper in 1938. And it may be even more damning, because while they were a few isolated criticisms of the abject cow-towing of democratic politicians to the monstrous Hitler regime in 1938, not a voice of disapproval to the blatant pandering by Merkel and Macron to the evil dictatorships of Putin and Erdogan was heard from either Brussels or the mainstream press in Europe. Instead, Macron and Merkel called shortly after their late October meeting in Istanbul with Erdoğan and Putin for an E.U. army to defend Europe from the United States, while
Growing energy rivalry in the region – a catalyst for development or geopolitical crisis? The first gas exploration of American oil leader -Exxon Mobil in the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) of Cyprus, officially announced on Friday (November 16th), has also set a new stage in the energy and political development of the Eastern Mediterranean region. Although far from real results – finding /or not/ of hydrocarbon deposits, the launch of the American company has already managed to restore the usual “hot spot” status of the region, putting an end to the short quiet interval, when in February Turkish warships forced the platform of the Italian company Eni to leave the offshore zone of Cyprus. Exxon Mobil explorations have already changed the dynamics of the geopolitical scene
The article first published in americanthinker.com on 11/23/2018. For the past two years, U.N. bureaucrats have worked diligently, if quietly, on something called the “Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration.” What has now become clear from its publication, and even more by analysis from Gatestone Institute’s formidable Judith Bergman, is that, given the source, the “Compact” is little more than unalloyed leftist propaganda. Migration, we are told in no uncertain terms, is “a source of prosperity, innovation and sustainable development in our globalized world,” while the secretary general of the U.N., Antonio Guterres, chimes in that it is “a positive global phenomenon.” No mention is made of the fact that uncontrolled migration of the kind permitted by Germany in 2015-2016 has proven to be a disaster, as even Chancellor Merkel and those
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On November 6, Americans will head to the polls to elect all 435 members of Congress and a third of their senators, as they do every two years. This year, however, the coming elections have been subject to especially heavy speculation and infighting because of the heavily polarized nature of American politics since the election of Donald Trump in 2016. To put it simply, Trump has divided the American electorate in two nearly equal halves that are barely on speaking terms any more. On one side are the democrats that unexpectedly lost the 2016 elections under Hillary Clinton, which they had been told by all pollsters, they would easily win. This has led to all kinds of recriminations and efforts to explain the sudden loss with assorted conspiracy theories
The news that German Chancellor Angela Merkel has bent under Trump’s pressure, deciding to spend government funds on the construction of the first German terminal for the import of liquefied natural gas, has traversed the newswire of most international news agencies. Interpretations of Merkel’s move have framed it as an attempt to avoid Washington’s sanctions against Nord Stream-2. Geostrategic bargains are part of Merkel’s move, but possibly not the core truth behind it. The fact of the matter is that it is odd for the largest EU economy and largest gas consumer in the EU not to have access via import terminals to the global LNG market. In the face of growing dependence on Russian pipeline gas, this self-imposed restraint can hardly constitute a sensible policy.
‘Fort Trump’ said the Polish president Andrzej Duda, during a White House press conference last week, would be an appropriate name to call the first American military base in Poland. Whether this Polish dream comes to pass or not is yet to be seen, but the strategic rationale behind it is anything but the joke US pundits took it to be. It is, in fact, an incapsulation of the dilemma facing Eastern Europe and with it, NATO and the United States. For barely concealed behind it is a multitude of challenges that must be addressed without delay if a serious crisis in Europe and the alliance is to be avoided. At the bottom of it is the seemingly unavoidable conflict over Muslim immigration. Virtually all of Eastern Europe