Misinterpreting the Election Results in Europe

Misinterpreting the Election Results in Europe

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If you looked at the results of the elections for European parliament in Germany, you’ll get a very adequate picture of what happened in Germany, which, while a meaningless tautology, is quite characteristic of what the mainstream media appear to be doing. To wit: the long-established parties, left and right, are losing their grip on the population to the Greens, which ultimately means more of the same in the EU – more Europe, more renewable insanity and more political domination by the Brussels elites, which are neither left nor right, but an increasingly amorphous power blob that sees itself as the virtuous and self-appointed leaders of the great unwashed masses. To that extent, the pundits are right, nothing much has changed and it matters not whether a socialist or a ‘conservative’ become the next head of the European Commission. It suffices to read Chancellor Merkel’s post-election and barely concealed appeal to her CDU/CSU constituents to emulate the Greens to see to what extent this disappearance of ideological differences has become the rule rather than the exception in Germany.

 

True and yet entirely misleading as far as Europe goes. For rather than a confirmation of the status quo, the elections represented a complete rejection of the way things have always been done in the EU and an unmistakable harbinger of major change afoot. It will take a while before this earthquake, and it is an earthquake, works itself out in the politics of Brussels but it will happen. And it matters not whether the ‘conservative’ Weber or the socialist Timmermans or the leftist Vestager come on top for the time being, the current model is doomed.

 

To understand the nature of this earthquake it is enough to see what just happened in Italy. From less than 4.1 % in 2013, Salvini’s Liga went to 17.4% in 2018 and 34.3% today. Together with the two other conservative parties (Fratelli D’Italia and Forza Italia) the Liga polls an unprecedented 49.5%, while the socialists went down from 40% in 2014 to 22.7% today. And if you want to know why, do not count on the mainstream media to tell you, but look instead to the results in the Itlalian towns that have been overwhelmed by EU and Merkel-sponsored illegal immigration. And here is what you’ll find: Lampedusa – 45.8% for the Liga, Ventimiglia – 44%, Bardoneccia- 41%.

 

Nor is Italy an exception. In France, the despised and long-touted in the media as dead and buried, Marine LePen defeated the golden boy of socialist promise and  self-anointed EU leader, Emmanuelle Macron. Further East, the much maligned by the bien-pensants Eastern European leaders like Victor Orban and Jaroslaw Kaczynski emerged with even stronger majorities. Again, the only reason they continue to be bête noir for Brussels and the pundits is not their alleged animus for the EU or democracy, but their steadfast opposition to being forced by the Merkels of Europe to accept Muslim migrants who refuse to integrate. Kaczynski’s Law and Justice Party (PiS) went up 13% in the elections to a staggering 45.4%, while Orban’s Fidesz increased it share of the vote to 52.3%. To he extent that nobody has accused either one of these two leaders of running undemocratic elections, it is logical to ask whether what Brussels really does not like are democratic elections?

 

Finally, there is yet another aspect of the elections that few have commented on, yet could well be of lasting import in the future. In the run up to the elections, Macron has voiced his unhappiness to what he sees as the German less than market approach to competition, as well as opposition to Merkel’s Spitzenkandidat Manfred Weber. This is a fundamental difference shared by the Italians and many others that could easily evolve into a major disagreement between the two major status quo powers of the EU. Stay tuned!

 

By Alex Alexiev

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